Finnish intelligence warns of possible Russian attack after Ukraine war

When the war in Ukraine ends, Russia will use the resources freed up there to exert influence in other regions, possibly attacking Finland.

This is stated in the National Security Review prepared by the Finnish Security Intelligence Service, Supo (Suojelupoliisi).

According to intelligence data, Russia remains the biggest threat to Finland’s national security.

“No improvement in the situation is expected. Russia is an aggressive, expansionist state willing to use any means to achieve its political goals,” said Supo’s director, Juha Martelius.

In his opinion, Russia may resort to sabotage at defense industry sites.

“From Russia’s perspective, Finland is not a key player capable of influencing decision-making in the West. However, the threat of sabotage is real and should be taken seriously,” the report states.

According to Supo’s assessment, the most likely targets for sabotage in Finland will be sites related to material support for Ukraine.

Trump may regret his decision to halt aid to Ukraine, says Finnish Foreign Ministry

Finnish Foreign Minister Elina Valtonen stated that she is concerned about Trump’s decision regarding Ukraine, which essentially represents a shift toward Russia.

“This is likely part of a broader strategy chosen by the White House to see whether this course of action can lead to peace by effectively appeasing Russia and exerting some pressure on Ukraine,” Valtonen said, commenting on the halt of U.S. aid to Ukraine.

“In my personal opinion, it should be exactly the opposite, and I believe that Trump and his team will eventually realize that this is likely not working,” the diplomat added.

U.S. aid suspension: what is known

American media reported that Donald Trump ordered the suspension of all ongoing military aid to Ukraine until he is convinced that the country's leaders “demonstrate a genuine commitment to peace.”

All U.S. military equipment, including weapons that had not yet reached Ukraine, is either being transported via aircraft and ships or waiting in transit zones in Poland, where it will remain.

On March 4, Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk confirmed that the U.S. had halted the supply of military shipments to Ukraine.

Meanwhile, Ukrainian Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal stated: “We are calmly continuing our diplomatic efforts through all available channels with the U.S., the U.S. Congress, the Trump administration, and President Trump himself.”

On March 4, the UK government reassured Ukraine of its continued support after the United States stopped providing military aid to Kyiv.

“We remain fully committed to ensuring a lasting peace in Ukraine and are working with key allies to support these efforts. This is the right thing to do, and it is in our interests,” said a statement from Downing Street.