Espreso. Global

Will the “gun” of European-Ukrainian diplomacy finally fire?

11 May, 2025 Sunday
19:58

European leaders push for 30-day ceasefire deal, signaling final US pressure on Moscow

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International information and analytical community Resurgam shared their analysis.

We are witnessing a rare and powerful signal — a joint visit to Ukraine by the leaders of the UK, France, Germany, and Poland. While such visits have happened before, Resurgam notes the timing and context are entirely new.

What’s behind this visit?

First, it’s a demonstration of unity: the informal “Weimar-Entente” — now seemingly expanded to include Ukraine — is taking shape. Resurgam states that Merz met with Starmer, then traveled to Paris and Warsaw, before arriving in Kyiv with the others. This was not a coincidence.

But the bigger picture is the proposed 30-day ceasefire deal — a European initiative aiming to corner both Moscow and Washington.

Resurgam argues that the visit is also a strategic move to pressure Trump into acknowledging the EU as a single, negotiating bloc on Ukraine and trade. Ahead of the visit, Chancellor Merz called Trump and said: “We must talk trade as one EU entity.” Trump reportedly agreed. Yet on the same day, the headlines read: “Brussels sharpens tariffs: EU prepares $107B hit on U.S. imports.”

Von der Leyen made it even clearer: “No meeting with Trump without concrete proposals.”
 Meanwhile, Trump claims “there’s a queue of European countries” wanting bilateral deals. Resurgam notes that Merz flatly rejected this: “There is no queue — only the EU speaks for the EU.”

This EU unity was reinforced in Kyiv — a message to both Washington and Moscow. The visit is meant to finalize the ceasefire offer. Resurgam says it’s now a “take it or leave it” moment.

According to Bloomberg, even Trump is beginning to view Putin as the main problem. The proposed ceasefire would be the final offer to Moscow — and if rejected, the EU and U.S. are expected to impose new sanctions.

This time, it's not just Paris and London. Berlin brings economic weight, and Warsaw — once hesitant — is now on board, thanks in part to Merz’s ties with Tusk. Resurgam sees this as a true European front.

What’s next?

The U.S. and Russia now hold the ball. The ceasefire deal is not open to amendments. Resurgam believes this is the EU's attempt to block any U.S. efforts to divide them into bilateral negotiations.

Moscow, of course, will play its usual “I’m for peace, but…” card. The real challenge lies with the White House — especially given recent activity, including new U.S.-Ukraine contacts involving Witkoff, Kellogg, and Rubio, and improved mood following the minerals agreement.

What not to do:
 Traveling to the U.S. alone, even if invited by the White House, is risky. Resurgam warns that this could be a trap by pro-Moscow interests. If any visit happens, it should be as part of a joint EU delegation.

What should be done:
 Focus on discrediting Moscow’s narrative about “shared minerals.” Resurgam highlights that Witkoff helped promote Dmitriev’s false claims that Ukraine could make deals with Russia. Once the U.S.-Ukraine deal moved forward, Moscow fell silent.

Now, with footage of Putin sitting beside Xi at the Moscow parade, Resurgam stresses the need to expose even the smallest of Moscow's propaganda tricks. Ukrainian diplomacy must shape the information landscape.

The shift in Trump’s position will take time. But Resurgam believes this week may be critical in setting the right “record” — one that plays Europe's tune, not Moscow’s.

 

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