Ukrainian Armed Forces encircle Russian troops at Lyman. Serhiy Zgurets column

Ukraine continues to hold the initiative on the battlefield. The Armed Forces of Ukraine have made further progress in the offensive northwest of Liman and are conducting operations on the east bank of the Oskil river, north of Kupyansk. And here we try to integrate various data in order to create an overall picture of what we really want to win.

Lyman zone

Russian invading forces try with all their might to defend the Lyman-Yampil line, throwing all their reserves into battle, even fresh ones, although these reserves are burning up there. By the way, they actively use remote mining here to delay the advance of Ukrainian units. Ukrainian troops do not go straight to the Lyman, but encircle, cut off all retreat routes for the Russian enemy and cut off logistical support routes. There are even optimistic claims that the Russian troops in Lyman have fallen into operational encirclement, of course, there is still no confirmation from the General Staff of Ukraine.

Before that, Ukrainian units, in order to create the conditions for such an encirclement, broke through the enemy's defenses and advanced north of Borova.  Ukrainian troops also liberated Pisky-Radkivskii, which is approximately 35 km northwest of Liman. In addition, Ukrainian Armed Forces liberated the villages of Karpivka, Ridkodub and Nove in this area.  There were reports about this, if you look at individual maps, geolocated photos and videos. There is also geolocated footage of Ukrainian troops entering Korovy Yar, which is approximately 20 km northwest of Liman.

This is evidenced by the data of a number of structures, including the Deep State, which approaches the analysis in detail, and the American analytical center of the Institute for the Study of War. In addition, the Armed Forces of Ukraine advance with battles from Lozovoy in the direction of Novolyubivka, probably to begin the withdrawal to the border of the Zherebets river. Thus, the position of the Russian troops in Lyman becomes extremely threatening, because it is cut off from the north, and the only transport corridor for Russian forces through Zarichne - Torske is also under fire control of Ukrainian Armed Forces. The further movement of Ukrainian units in the direction of Nevskyi and Terna will mean the blocking of all supply routes for Russians and the creation of prerequisites for the complete defeat of the enemy's Lymano-Yampil group.

By the way, the so-called Russian militants already have an interesting wording about this group near Lyman, and they announce that there is no reason to panic. These are the phrases the Rashists used before the offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the liberation of Izyum. I think that such scenarios await the Lyman bridgehead as well.

Dynamics in the North

There are also positive dynamics in the North, where the counteroffensive is a logical continuation of the Kupyansk offensive operation and is already taking place on the eastern bank of the Oskil river, which was successfully crossed. There are reports about the release of Kupyansk — Vuzlovyi, which is one of the largest railway junctions in the Kharkiv region. Ukrainian troops are gradually advancing north of Svatovo and on the other side in the direction of Kreminna.  So, this line Svatove — Kreminna is the line where Russians, despite the loss, will try to roll back with his group, which is now trying to hold the line Lyman and Yampil, if they succeed. We are waiting for further not assumptions, not integration of such data, but positive messages from the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine about actions in this area.

Fast mobs at the front

Russians try to plug the holes in its defense on the fronts with mobilization. We have already seen how exactly these fast mobs are made, and there are more and more new details. The InformNapalm community, which is a project of an international group of volunteers, monitors all events and analyzes them based on open sources of information.  So, there was a video where the plywood Minister of Defense Shoigu demonstratively visited the training of the mobilized and it is interesting that he is watching, while the training is conducted by a cadet. In fact, they no longer have instructors who can provide professional training of soldiers, and this cadet violates all safety rules. All the instructors were already called by the Russians to the front, and some of them were already destroyed there.