Espreso. Global
Review

January 10-17 live war map: Ukrainian Armed Forces break window to Crimea, but calm prevails on front before storm

17 January, 2024 Wednesday
16:30

Russia has increased its troop presence in Ukraine to 462,000, signaling readiness for a new offensive following the setback in the initial phase of the autumn-winter campaign

Throughout the week, combat incidents decreased notably, averaging 30-40 daily across the entire front. Consequently, the front line has hardly changed. However, on January 15-16, the number of skirmishes spiked again, reaching 90-100, primarily in the eastern sector and around the Robotyne ledge area.

 

Map of Russian offensive in Luhansk region

The Russian offensive in Kupyansk has been stuck near Synkivka for months. East of there, near Pershotravneve, the invaders faced setbacks. Our Armed Forces successfully regained control of strategic heights near Yahidne.

The fiercest battles unfolded in the Kreminna area. The Russians made progress, breaking through a few hundred meters east of Bilohorivka. However, their assaults on Terny towards Lyman were thwarted by our defensive redoubts. In the Serebrianske Forestry, intense counter-fighting persists. It's clear the enemy aims to dislodge Ukrainian forces on the other side of Siverskyi Donets and advance toward Siversk.

Eastern front update: Bakhmut, Avdiivka, and Vuhledar

Over the past week, the Russians intensified their attack on Bohdanivka, aiming to reach the northern outskirts of Chasiv Yar. Simultaneously, they pressed toward Ivanivske and Klishchiivka, but the Defense Forces successfully repelled all assaults.

Additionally, the enemy resumed their offensive between Vesele and Spirne, north of Bakhmut, seeking to pose a renewed threat to Siversk by attacking from multiple directions.

In Avdiivka, the primary focus of the attack was the village of Stepove, where the Russians launched several unsuccessful “meat-grinder-style” assaults. An explosive failure also marked their attempt to penetrate Avdiivka itself with a tank attack.

Efforts to advance west from Marinka toward Heorhiivka met with failure.

The only area the enemy can currently claim as a gain is the territory south of Novomykhailivka, where they expanded by several square kilometers west of the village of Solodke. However, the much-anticipated large-scale offensive on Vuhledar has not materialized.

 

Map of active hostilities on southern front

Active hostilities have recommenced in Zaporizhzhia region. The Russian Armed Forces are attempting to contain the breakthrough made by the Ukrainian Armed Forces during the summer. Currently, our Defense Forces control a 10x10 km area, but facing heavy fire from all directions makes the situation challenging for our personnel. In a week, Russians have shifted the front line several hundred meters west of Verbove village. Intense counter-fighting is underway south of Robotyne, as the occupiers persist in their efforts to breach our defenses and reclaim the village.

Simultaneously, in the Staromayorske area, our military successfully enhanced their tactical position, pushing the invaders back to the southwest of the village.

Ukrainian Armed Forces ‘break window’ to Crimea

The successful operation by the Armed Forces, involving the downing of a rare A-50 long-range radar detection aircraft and damaging the IL-22 air control center, stands out as a significant achievement. Prior to this unique mission, the destruction of several radar stations near the Novofedorivka airfield a week earlier was likely a preparation. The Defense Forces strategically compelled the A-50 and its air escorts to approach the front line dangerously, at a distance of approximately 90-100 km. This allowed the Armed Forces to target near Orikhiv, hitting an aircraft of which, according to experts, Russia had no more than 5, possibly only 2. Consequently, the invaders lost the ability to continuously monitor the front from Kupyansk to Kherson. Gaps in their defense widened, particularly along the western coast of Crimea. Our bridgehead near Krynky is poised to increasingly disrupt the enemy, potentially becoming a launching point for the liberation of Crimea.

Missile attacks: Tendencies in the skies over Ukraine

The latest missile attack on January 13, following the same interval as the previous one, featured 12 ballistic missiles, 18 cruise missiles, and 13 guided air missiles. Our anti-aircraft defense successfully intercepted 8 cruise missiles and one guided air missile. Approximately 20 missiles, not intercepted, failed to hit targets as countermeasures by EW disabled them. Some recently produced Russian rockets were identified in the Krasnodar Territory fields. The effective use of EWs could mark a pivotal development in the aerial warfare dynamics in Ukraine.

 

These maps, derived from information provided by the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and other credible sources, offer a broad overview of the war zone. While not completely accurate, they provide a tentative representation of trends in the conflict.

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