UK intelligence assesses likelihood of new wave of mobilization in Russia

The UK Defense Ministry tweeted this. 

Intelligence suggests that the Russian authorities are keeping open the option of another draft as part of the previously announced 'partial mobilization'. In particular, on January 22, the media reported that Russian border guards were preventing Kyrgyz labor migrants with dual citizenship from leaving the Russian Federation and claimed that their names were on the mobilization lists.

In addition, on January 23, Russian presidential spokesman Dmitry Peskov said that the decree on 'partial mobilization' continues to be in force, allegedly to ensure the proper functioning of the armed forces.

“The Russian leadership highly likely continues to search for ways to meet the high number of personnel required to resource any future major offensive in Ukraine, while minimizing domestic dissent,” UK intelligence concluded. 

• On January 24, CNN reported that Russian dictator Vladimir Putin is considering another wave of mobilization with the draft of about 200,000 people.