Russia will not peacefully collapse, but fall into civil war – political scientist Kulyk

He shared his opinions with Espreso TV.

"Analyzing the situation in Russia, I don't see any players who can challenge the Kremlin, become the driving force behind a revolution or a palace coup. I believe more in riots and pogroms. When Russia reaches the point of superfragility, then the processes of state dying begin, that is, the loss of its functions: the inability of the federal center to ensure law and order and control over other regions, lack of power resources and political will to take certain steps. All this has already happened many times in the history of the Russian Empire, both in the early 20th century and during the collapse of the Soviet Union," the political scientist said.

Vitaliy Kulyk noted that when Russia reached such a point of superfragility, the country would collapse into itself and experience a deep civil war or, as it was in 1991, somehow manage to peacefully carry out a “divorce proceeding.”

"Now I see no prospects for such a peaceful transition to collapse, I see the opposite – a transition to a deep civil war, and this will not be done by the hands of any elites. The creation of new independent states in the post-Russian space will indeed be done by local elites, perhaps not the current ones, but new ones that will take advantage of the situation and overthrow the current elites. But at the moment, there are no groups of influence that could emerge as opponents of the Kremlin regime," Kulyk concluded.

• Earlier, Washington-based political scientist Andrey Piontkovsky noted that the West was sending signals to the Russian elite.