Russia will be "cooked on low heat"
The Ruscists must believe in the illusion of "victory" until the moment of collapse
In a recent interview with the Financial Times, the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, General Mark Milley, reiterated the approach taken by the allies in assisting Ukraine. He spoke of the need to be "very conscious about managing escalation" given the aggressor's possession of nuclear weapons.
In other words, the “boiling frog” principle has once again been confirmed: the Ruscists must believe in the illusion of "victory" until the moment of collapse. And then the nuclear scenario will become unfeasible in the truest sense of the word: the use of nuclear weapons requires the technical participation of a large number of people who, in the face of collapse, will have no motivation to commit the worst possible crime and execute an order to use weapons of mass destruction, even if it comes.
“The nuclear scenario will become unfeasible in the truest sense of the word: the use of nuclear weapons requires the technical participation of a large number of people who, in the face of collapse, will have no motivation to commit the worst possible crime and execute an order to use weapons of mass destruction, even if it comes”
Accordingly, Ukraine will receive heavy tanks, airplanes, and much more - "at the right time," as representatives of Western political circles like to say. But when that moment comes depends on Ukraine's persistence. And not only in negotiations, but also in providing the Ukrainian Armed Forces with everything they need on its own.
Therefore, in addition to issuing payments to the military again, Ukraine should also maximize the available budget funds to purchase ammunition and equipment that the military needs on the battlefield. Fulfilling this priority will accelerate the provision of technological assistance from the allies: the frog in the pot is already boiling, and it is time to raise the temperature.
1. As of February 17, 2023, Russia's gold and foreign exchange reserves decreased by USD 6.9 billion over the week.
2. Volkswagen has banned its Chinese plants from supplying cars to Russia.
3. Air travel between Russia and China may decrease by 60-70% in 2023 compared to 2019.
4. The EU obliged the Russians under sanctions to report their assets for blocking.
5. Since the beginning of 2023, almost half as many new housing projects have been launched across Russia as in previous periods.
There is nothing to invest in.
And this tendency will continue.
Source.
About the author. Rostyslav Pavlenko is a Ukrainian politician, political scientist, political strategist, and teacher. Member of Parliament of Ukraine of the IX convocation.
The editorial board does not always share the opinions expressed by the blog authors.
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