Espreso. Global
OPINION

West won't abandon Ukraine: Three reasons

6 March, 2024 Wednesday
17:30

For those who think the West will abandon us unwillingly and leave us without help to lose to Russia, I will give three arguments why this is a mistaken belief

client/title.list_title

No, it is not about protecting democracy and deterring Putin, although these are arguments. Everything is more pragmatic and mercantile.

1. In the event of worsening developments in Ukraine and Russia's victory, the German government expects no less than 10 million additional refugees from Ukraine. However, such a number would cause a collapse in the EU. The leadership of Western European countries, where refugees would head, understands this well. That's why they will invest money in Ukraine to prevent such a scenario. The EU is not against 200-400 thousand migrants per year, but too much is not good.

2. In the event of such a scenario, among these refugees will be a large number of those who will cross with arms and have experience serving in the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Experts estimate this to be around 400-600 thousand individuals. This includes both active-duty military personnel and veterans who understand what awaits them in case of Russia's victory.

“Such a large number of war-injured individuals within the EU is a nightmare for European officials for many reasons. Therefore, they are very interested in ensuring that Ukraine does not lose.”

3. Poland, Estonia, Lithuania, and Latvia understand that they could become potential targets of Russia. Even the Hungarians, despite their russophilia, do not want to share a border with Russia and prefer their affection for the Russians at a distance. Therefore, the attitudes of European politicians can be understood. The existence of a buffer between them and the horde is crucial for them. They also understand that as long as Russia expands its military potential in Ukraine, Moscow is not focused on European countries.

It all sounds very cynical, but it's true.

And it's also worth mentioning how much money the West has invested in Ukraine, recognizing us as a potential market, and how the West views the opportunities for Ukraine's reconstruction in terms of revitalizing their own economies, among many other factors. I've heard all of this multiple times from Western politicians.

So, they won't abandon us, no matter how much the Russians may wish for it. Moscow might get an earful from the herring. At most.

But a lot also depends on us. And we shouldn't forget about it. No one will fight for us. They will provide weapons and money. The challenge for both the government and citizens is to have someone to fight with the occupiers.

So, let's ditch the panic thoughts. Prepare for the long haul. Not just a TV news marathon from the OP, but a long military marathon. It's a war of attrition, and we need to endure and reach victory. And we will.

 

About the author. Boryslav Bereza, public activist, former member of  the Ukrainian Parliament 

The editors do not always share the opinions expressed by the authors of the blogs.



 
Tags:
Read also:
  • News
2024, Tuesday
23 July
21:10
Review
Victorious news of 881st day of war: Ukrainian forces destroy UAV control station in south, down Russian Su-25 in Donetsk region
20:43
How many combat aircraft will Russia make in 2024 and will it compensate for losses
20:14
Exclusive
Defense Express explains why Crimea ferry was chosen as target for attack
19:50
Updated
Russian troops attack foster family home in Dnipropetrovsk region, injuring three children
19:21
Number of Russian troops in Zaporizhzhia region increases to 90,000 in three weeks
18:54
First visit of foreign minister to China since 2012: Kuleba tells what he will talk about in Beijing
18:25
Hungary, Slovakia initiate European Commission committee meeting due to Ukraine's ban on Lukoil's oil transit
17:57
Ukraine secures $3.9 billion grant from US: breakdown
17:30
European leaders look like fools because they followed Biden into war with Russia: Manipulation of world media for July 23
16:57
OPINION
Republicans will resist Biden's withdrawal
16:30
Russia attacks Kherson with drone, wounding civilian man
16:11
Exclusive
World must understand that war with Russia is matter of international law - publicist Riabchuk
15:49
Exclusive
Ukrainians build and donate FPV drones to military from home
15:27
Updated
Ukrainian Defense Forces down second Russian Su-25 in Donetsk region this month
15:10
Indonesia resumes oil purchases from Russia after 10-year break
14:52
Boeing, Antonov aircraft manufacturers to cooperate in defense projects
14:35
Ukrainian Parliament votes for extension of martial law
14:15
Exclusive
“Soldiers shot back at FPV with guns, driver was speeding”: Ukrainian medic on Chasiv Yar evacuation
13:53
Russian troops attack Dnipropetrovsk region, injuring three children
13:18
OPINION
Why is Ukraine's FM Kuleba going to China?
12:55
Turkey to help Ukraine restore energy system
12:30
Exclusive
Ukraine must resist concessions despite "war fatigue" and anticipate prolonged war - military expert
12:10
Free world must wake up, think about how to protect its citizens - Zaluzhnyi
11:53
Updated
Russia claims attack on port Kavkaz, Krasnodar Krai
11:43
Exclusive
Russia’s foreign mercenaries face mass capture: Ukraine's Rubizh Brigade explains why
11:25
Ukrainians invent way to fight, win against stronger armies in 21st century - Zaluzhnyi
10:59
Latvia hands over 500 more drones to Ukraine as part of drone coalition
10:36
Review
Ukraine's drone attacks on Russia, situation in Pokrovsk sector. Serhiy Zgurets’ column
10:15
155 combat clashes at frontline, Russia focuses on Pokrovsk, Kramatorsk direction - Ukraine's General Staff
09:35
Infographics
Russia loses air defense system, 4 tanks and 1,220 soldiers in one day of war in Ukraine
2024, Monday
22 July
21:30
Review
Victorious news of 880th day of war: Ukraine to receive 100,000 ammunition rounds via Czech initiative in August, Ukrainian forces could block Crimea this year
21:11
Exclusive
Russian forces block evacuations from Kharkiv region, shoot civilians - volunteer
20:55
Ukraine’s intelligence chief accuses Russia of complicity in Farion's murder
20:35
Ukraine turns to FPV drones due to surface-to-air missile shortage
20:12
Ukraine's finance minister calls for increase in military levy
19:53
Russia damages 1,642 medical facilities in Ukraine, completely destroying 214 of them 
19:30
Russian troops attempt to breach Ukrainian defenses in Zaporizhzhia region - Ukraine's General Staff
19:05
Hungary threatens legal action after Ukraine stops transit of Russian oil
18:39
Exclusive
How US B-52 bombers in Romania could help Ukraine, Defense Express explains
18:14
Kherson Museum finds five more paintings stolen by Russian army
More news