The U.S. will lose from exiting negotiations

This isn’t just about the Russia-Ukraine war; it’s about the ability of the U.S. to influence key global security processes. This war is too tightly connected to other international events for Trump to easily exit without raising doubts about the current White House’s ability to act. It is no coincidence that news about the Russia-Ukraine war has consistently made headlines in global media for over three years now.

Distancing from the Russia-Ukraine war would effectively mean the U.S. withdrawing from European affairs. And this, in turn, would invite China to step in.

First through strengthening economic ties, and then, who knows, possibly in terms of security as well. Beijing influences Putin’s willingness to continue the wars, and as may soon become apparent, Washington may be unable to influence him.

By involving itself in European affairs and the European market, China, rather than the U.S., will become "great."

Similar processes will occur in other regions. America's "greatness" will be questioned in Iran, in Asia, and even in relations with its closest neighbors.

After Trump’s tariff "blitzkrieg," I can easily believe that the U.S. may announce its exit from the negotiation process in the Russia-Ukraine war.

But Washington will not gain from this; it will lose. Because on an already weakened international authority, due to the tariff war, the U.S. will be stamped with a big label of "incapable."

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About the author: Serhiy Taran, political scientist

The editorial team does not always share the views expressed by blog authors.