"Limited or almost nonexistent": Zgurets on Russia’s ability to launch large-scale offensives

He shared his opinions with Espreso TV.

"Since late 2023, Russia has been on the offensive. Over the past three months, their advances have slowed significantly, while losses remain high. Now, once again, there’s talk of a spring offensive. I believe the Russians will likely try to shift their focus from the Pokrovsk direction, where they’ve struggled to advance in their priority areas, to the Kupiansk-Lyman axis. They’re moving troops from Kurakhove to the Toretsk area and increasing activity around Lyman. At the same time, we’re seeing reports of successful Ukrainian counterattacks near Zakhidne," Zgurets said.

He explained that the high saturation of UAVs on the front line makes large-scale Russian offensives unfeasible.

"As for enemy forces, the HUR (Ukraine's intelligence agency - ed.) reports that the intensity of Russian offensive actions has decreased. However, they are still massing troops and resources. Overall, I believe Russia’s ability to conduct major offensives is either very limited or practically nonexistent. The nature of combat has changed — battlefield transparency and our extensive use of UAVs significantly complicate any Russian advances," he explained.

• On March 5, Ukraine’s General Staff reported 108 combat clashes on the front line the previous day, with the highest concentration of attacks in the Kursk region and Pokrovsk direction.