Israel faces same problems like Ukraine as Trump seeks peace with Iran, Russia

Now he is putting pressure on Israel not to bomb Iran and hopes to enlist Russia's help.

In March of this year, Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Trump's former national security adviser Mike Walz actively lured the Russian delegation to talks in Riyadh. Among the package of goodies was a hint for the Kremlin: come to the gatherings on Ukraine and in return you can be included in certain world games, ranging from resolving the Iran issue (in a broad sense - from Iran itself to the Houthis) to more global issues in Africa.

Since then, the Russian dictator has been actively manipulating this issue in any contact with Trump. Even during the last conversation, where Putin complained about how Ukrainian special services destroyed his strategic aircraft, which were already loaded at the airfields, the Iranian issue surfaced again.

"The American president decided not to condemn the Russians for terrorizing the civilian population, because Putin promised to talk to Tehran so that it would not rush to nuclear weapons."

"I told Putin that Iran should not have nuclear weapons, and as I understand it, we agreed on this issue. He offered to join the discussions with Iran and, perhaps, help speed up the resolution of this issue. In my opinion, Iran is deliberately delaying the decision-making on this extremely important issue, and we need to get a clear answer in a very short time!", - the head of the White House explained his friendly conversations with the murderer.

But you know what? Trump can write his posts about Russia and hope that it will decide something with Iran to reduce its nuclear program.

But Iran considers Russia a situational "food" from which it can be lured for help in the war with money, gold, and nuclear technologies. It is already absolutely clear that if the dung country had not bought the Shahed batch in the second half of 2022, it would have been difficult for them to inflict damage on us in the rear. After all, ballistics, even very good ballistics, is an artificial product. But if you launch several hundred drones every night, and also with know-how - for example, with shrapnel filling, then this is a real terror of the civilian population in the style of the Nazis in 1945.

Iran is now friends with Russia, because for at least half a year it has been looking for ways to shorten the cycle of nuclear weapons production. As of now, the production of a warhead that could be mounted on a ballistic missile takes Iranian craftsmen from a year to a year and a half. Therefore, Iranian scientists are increasingly flying secret flights to Russia, where they study at nuclear facilities how to hone their technologies in order to have their bomb as soon as possible.

"Donald Trump wants so much to make a deal with Tehran and break Israel at the knee, whose survival directly depends on the stage of the Iranian nuclear program, that he has forgotten one very interesting fact."

Tehran resumed uranium production after Donald Trump, during his first term in office, announced in 2018 that the United States would withdraw from the nuclear deal signed under Barack Obama in 2015. During Joe Biden's term, Iran has been rapidly ramping up its production of enriched uranium, because, as CNN put it in 2022, "there was a lack of political will." And here

Donald is raking up what he himself had done.

On Monday, Trump had a 40-minute conversation with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, where he gave Israel some disappointing news.

The American leader insisted that Israel should end the war in Gaza and refrain from striking Tehran's nuclear facilities. Trump once again stated that Iran "wants to make a deal" - nothing like our case, huh?

Trump is also afraid that the Iranian response will be negative, but not so much as to disrupt the negotiations. "For now, an attack on Iran should be taken off the agenda," the Israeli press reports Trump as saying.

What is this? The masculine and belligerent Trump on the campaign posters and the timid man in the Oval Office turned out to be completely different.

So, in fact, Israel, in its war with its enemies, found itself in a situation similar to ours. If you want peace, kill the enemy with your own hands and do not rely on a partner. I think that in the near future, Israeli forces will implement something similar to the elimination of the "father of the Iranian nuclear program", nuclear physicist Mohsen Fakhrizadeh in 2020. That impudent elimination of the scientist with a remote machine gun made it possible to postpone the creation of nuclear weapons for several years. While Trump and Biden were running together.

Iran, meanwhile, is promising to present its terms for a deal to the U.S.—a deal that will likely be only a framework agreement, if it isn’t derailed altogether. The goals of these diplomatic games are very similar to Russia’s demands: the immediate lifting of economic sanctions. Plus, at the negotiating table, alongside Russia—the main architect of the “axis of evil”—is China. 

"It’s clear that Iran will be listening not to lame-duck Putin, but to the will of Beijing."

China is Iran’s main partner—there’s oil trade, the Houthis, trade routes, and dominance in the Middle East. It’s this patronage that allows Ayatollah Khamenei to boldly declare that Tehran will not give up uranium enrichment, and to question who the U.S. is to dictate otherwise.

So, in the end, instead of quick victories, Trump will be forced to meet with Xi Jinping, where he’ll either have to prove that America still matters, or agree to let China carve up the world while the former hegemon lies on the sidelines of history.

Especially for Espreso

About the author: Maryna Danyliuk-Yarmolaieva, journalist.

The editorial board does not always share the views expressed by blog authors.