Energy moratorium may benefit Russia by allowing weapons buildup — ISW
A week-long pause in Russian strikes on Ukraine's energy grid doesn't signal any real concession from Russia, which continues to reject a long-term ceasefire and has used similar short-term moratoriums before to advance its political goals
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The American Institute for the Study of War (ISW) reported the information.
As analysts note, a temporary moratorium on long-range strikes could benefit Russia if both sides participate in it.
"Russian forces will be able to amass drone and missile stockpiles that it can use to launch large, combined strikes in the future, while Ukraine ceases its strikes against Russian energy infrastructure," the statement reads.
The ISW noted that the Kremlin has previously proposed short-term ceasefires as part of cognitive warfare, attempting to demonstrate readiness for negotiations while simultaneously rejecting calls from Ukraine and the U.S. for a longer or permanent moratorium on strikes against civilian infrastructure.
- On January 29, U.S. President Donald Trump stated that due to severe frosts in Ukraine, he personally asked Russian dictator Vladimir Putin not to shell Kyiv and other Ukrainian cities for a week, to which Putin allegedly agreed.
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