Prigozhin's coup against Putin hinges on Russian National Guard – British intelligence

The UK Ministry of Defense shared the information on Twitter.

"Over the coming hours, the loyalty of Russia’s security forces, and especially the Russian National Guard, will be key to how the crisis plays out," the ministry states.

Intelligence reports that on the night of June 24, disputes between the head of Wagner PMC, Yevgeny Prigozhin, and the Russian Ministry of Defense escalated to a direct confrontation. 

According to British intelligence, Wagner mercenaries are moving north through the Voronezh region, "almost certainly" heading for Moscow. Russian security forces are apparently not putting up any resistance.

"With very limited evidence of fighting between Wagner and Russian security forces, some have likely remained passive, acquiescing to Wagner," the report says.

According to British intelligence, these events are the "most significant challenge" to the Russian state in recent times.

• On June 23, Russian troops allegedly launched a missile attack on a Wagner PMC base. Wagner's leader Yevgeny Prigozhin said that 25,000 mercenaries were coming to deal with Sergei Shoigu. Read more about the events here.