Mouse trap for Russians on the right bank of the Kherson region is likely closing. Serhiy Zgurets column
If the offensive from Davydiv Brid continues at a consistent pace, then the Ukrainian Armed Forces will be able to split Russia's troop grouping in Kherson in half. Then the Russian forces will probably roll back to establish a new line of defense to cover Berislav and Nova Kakhovka, or simply flee by swimming across the Dnipro river.
Advancement of Ukrainian Armed Forces on the right bank of the Kherson region
Ukrainian Armed Forces implement a strategic and tactical initiative on several areas of the front at once. The hostilities continue without any operational pause. First of all, Ukrainian Armed Forces intensified operations in the southern direction on the right bank of the Dnipro river, in the Kherson region. Here we have an extremely dynamic advance of tens of kilometers in these two days.
Let me remind you, we had three zones of activity there using ground units, aviation and artillery. It is directly in the direction of Kherson from Mykolaiv, in the central part of this zone were Sukhy Stavok, Davydiv Brid and the northwestern part of the Kherson region.
Even yesterday, we talked about the use of Ukrainian troops at the Rashist bridgehead in the direction of Zolota Balka, Novoaleksandrivka, Dudchany. Ukrainian Armed Forces conduct an operation to advance along the Dnipro river in the direction of the Kakhovska HPP, and at an extremely active pace and with the support of tanks.
Today, a significant number of geo-located videos from Ukrainian fighters, which teach extremely important stories from liberated settlements in the Kherson region, appeared on the Internet. These are Davydiv Brid, Starosillya, Velikolexandrivka, Novomykolaivka. Although some of these settlements need legitimization from Ukrainian Armed Forces General Staff, the dynamics are clear.
About Davydiv Brid, released by the forces of the 35th division of marine infantry, it should be said separately. For a long time, this settlement was a stumbling block in our actions to squeeze the enemy group from the north on this bridgehead, on the right bank of the Dnipro river. But now this time for Russians has already run out. If the offensive from Davydov Brid continues at the same pace, the Armed Forces of Ukraine will be able to split the Kherson group of the aggressor's army in half. And Russians will probably roll back to establish a new line of defense to cover Berislav and Nova Kakhovka, or simply flee by swimming across the Dnipro river, because this mouse trap for them is already closing.
Regarding the situation in the Kherson region, the assessments of the Russian military leaders are extremely revealing. In their messages, terms are used that the leadership of the Russian army is losing the processes of managing troops. But it is interesting how they explain that the Ukrainians have top-secret electronic warfare systems that have completely suppressed Russian communication, so Russian units do not know what is happening on the battlefield. Among Russians, there are also claims that Ukrainian Armed Forces have moved to a completely new level of troop management, when even individual platoons know everything about the enemy's forces, as well as the location of the enemy thanks to powerful intelligence systems. Of course, that's how it is. We should not forget about the active work of Ukrainian aviation and artillery, including HIMARS.
Today, OC "South" traditionally reported on the execution of a significant number of fire missions on Russian targets both on the right bank and on the left bank, including the destruction of crossings over the Dnipro river, which Russians regularly try to establish in order to throw at least something to keep their units on the right bank. All this brings closer the liberation of Kherson region from Russians.
By the way, there is an optimistic reaction from the Pentagon, where it is believed that Ukraine appears to be on track to achieve several of its key goals on the battlefield and Kyiv is moving to strengthen its position against Russia ahead of winter. I think this is the correct conclusion.
The situation in the East of Ukraine
Also, Ukrainian progress continues in the East, where after the liberation of Lyman, which happened on October 1, Ukrainian Armed Forces are now conducting the next stages of the operation in this direction. There is the movement of Ukrainian troops from the Kupiansk bridgehead, there are also actions in the direction of Svatove with the intention of cutting off Russian group that is trying to hold on to the line of the Oskil river, in addition, there is movement towards Kreminna.
In a few days, there was a significant decrease in the territories that were occupied by the enemy, and we can see the advance of our units. The map presented by the Deep State resource nicely demonstrates this progress. Deep State is a fairly conservative information resource, according to some estimates, the promotion is much more. But, as always, we are waiting for a report from the General Staff, which is just as conservative in its assessment of our victories, and that is good.
Therefore, Russians have no reserves to strengthen the Svatove — Kreminna defense line.
Fights, queues at borders, rusty machine guns - Russian mobilization
At the same time, a mobilization is taking place in Russia, which actually shows all the problems of the Russian system. We have seen a significant number of videos showing the fights of conscripts, rusted machine guns, and queues at borders, where conscripts are trying to escape from Russia. Among these videos there is one interesting and epic one, in which somewhere near a military unit in Omsk, several hundred mobilized people are wandering around the unit in a muddy field and warming themselves with alcohol. This is the picture of Russian mobilization.
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