ISW assesses risks of repeated Russian offensive from Belarus

The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) reported this. 

“Observed significant military activity in Belarus in the past 24 hours that indicates that an attack from Belarus remains unlikely,” the analyst noted. 

The statement of Andriy Yusov, the representative of the Main Intelligence Directorate of Ukraine's Ministry of Defense, says there is currently no threat of a Russian offensive operation from Belarus. According to him, intelligence has not observed a grouping and readiness of Russian forces in Belarus that would allow for such an operation. 

“The Ukrainian General Staff reiterated that it has not observed Russian forces in Belarus forming a strike group as of January 22,” the ISW added. 

• On January 16, the Main Intelligence Directorate reported that Russian dictator Vladimir Putin had set the new commander of the military group in Ukraine, Valery Gerasimov, the task of capturing Donbas by March 2023.