The Kremlin clearly didn't expect such a convincing narrative from China that Russia is losing the war with Ukraine and will have to withdraw its troops from the occupied territories.
“The very fact that a Chinese professor has published such a lengthy article in the Chinese and Western press testifies to the indisputable fact that China is rethinking the bets placed on Moscow.”
According to a Chinese expert, a former member of the Kremlin's Valdai International Discussion Club, Feng Yujun, four factors will lead Russia to failure:
The first is the high level of resistance and national unity of Ukrainians. The second is the international support for Ukraine, which, despite the recent decline, remains significant. The third factor, Feng Yujun says, is the nature of modern warfare, which depends on a combination of industrial power and command, control, communications, and intelligence systems.
“Information is an important factor. Or rather, the lack of quality information. According to Feng Yujun, Putin has been trapped in an information cocoon because of his long dictatorship. The Kremlin lacks reliable intelligence, and the system in which the Russian leadership operates lacks an effective mechanism for correcting mistakes, The Economist quotes the Chinese expert as saying.”
Feng Yujun emphasizes that Russia's defeat is inevitable due to these four factors, and Moscow will eventually have to withdraw from all occupied Ukrainian territories, including Crimea.
The Ukrainian war has become a turning point for the Russian Federation, writes Feng Yujun: it has put the Putin regime in wide international isolation and created favorable conditions for "various black swans," i.e., for various unpredictable disasters that the Russian authorities have already faced and will continue to face. As an example, he cites the Wagner PMC uprising, ethnic tensions in Russia, the recent terrorist attack in Moscow, the failure of dams on rivers, and the flooding of entire regions and districts…
It will get worse and worse!
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An important curtsy!
Yujun recalls that since the beginning of the war, China has "conducted two rounds of diplomatic mediation" and, although no success has been achieved so far, "no one should doubt China's desire to end this brutal war through negotiations." "This desire shows that China and Russia are different countries. Russia seeks to undermine the current international and regional order through war, while China seeks to resolve disputes peacefully," the Chinese professor said.
About the author. Rostyslav Demchuk, journalist, expert on Euro-Atlantic issues.
The editors don't always share the opinions expressed by the authors of the blogs.