What was agreed in Paris
There are two pieces of news: the good one — the EU and the U.S. at this stage are ready to play a joint game. The bad one - Putin's position remains unchanged for now - to continue the war
1. Maintaining and financing a 700,000-strong Ukrainian army is our main trump card: Europe does not see its security from Russia without us (if tomorrow there is war in Europe, only the Ukrainian Armed Forces can protect them). And this point is the main one in the EU security issue for the entire 2026-28 period (later, perhaps, they will have something of their own).
2. Now the main question is whether we can squeeze the maximum out of this, our only trump card. The maximum is EU membership and financing (that's why I'm writing about 2026-28, which are critical years for Europe).
All other things, such as British-French peacekeepers - this is just decoration.
3. So far, Putin is not demonstrating any desire to go to negotiations. But after Venezuela, we must keep our fingers crossed for an equally swift war in Iran. If the U.S. and Israel succeed, Russia will have serious oil problems within six to nine months. And this, in turn, will strengthen the U.S. negotiating position against China and possibly force Putin to understand the "realities on the ground." But for now, this is futurology.
Therefore, for now, Putin will continue to drag out time.
About the author: Vadym Denysenko, political scientist.
The editorial office does not always share the opinions expressed by blog authors.
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