
Swiss think tank presents ceasefire plan for Ukraine
The Geneva Center for Security Policy (GCSP) has published a plan with mechanisms for a ceasefire in Ukraine. It was presented as a “Ceasefire Toolkit”
This is stated on the GCSP's website
The document, developed on the basis of the findings of international experts, provides for several key steps to implement the ceasefire:
- Agree on a buffer zone and limitation zones for heavy weapons. The buffer zone should be at least 10 kilometers wide, patrolled by 5,000 civilians and police. Approximately 10,000 foreign troops are planned to be deployed to ensure security.
- Deploy an international monitoring and verification mission to monitor the ceasefire and verify the withdrawal of heavy weapons.
- Create a Joint Military Coordination Commission (JMCC) consisting of Ukrainian and Russian military personnel. Through this commission, the parties will be able to address related issues such as prisoner exchange, demining, and the creation of humanitarian corridors.
- Use the ceasefire as a first step toward a broader package of agreements that would include a political settlement, arms control and confidence-building measures between NATO and Russia, strategic stability between the United States and Russia, and the future of the European security system.
Representatives of Ukraine, Russia, the United States, and the EU were involved in the drafting of the document.
According to The New York Times, citing GCSP Director Thomas Greminger, the experts who worked on the plan included employees of international organizations and former military commanders with peacekeeping experience. They participated on an anonymous basis and acted “in a personal capacity.”
According to Mr. Greminger, the biggest obstacle to the plan's implementation is the position of Russian President Vladimir Putin. Many experts are skeptical about the likelihood that the Kremlin will agree to a ceasefire and fulfill its terms.
“Russian officials pledged almost up until the start of the war that he had no intention of invading Ukraine. And no monitoring mission would be able to deter the Russian president if he decided to launch a new invasion of Ukraine,” the article says.
Janis Kluge, a Russia expert at the German Institute for International and Security Affairs, said it was “dangerous to occupy your mind with this illusion” of a potentially imminent cease-fire.
“I don’t think it’s realistic that Russia will agree to something where Ukraine remains independent and sovereign, even in the territory it controls,” Mr. Kluge said.
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