He said this in an interview with Anton Borkovskyi, host of the Studio West program on Espreso TV.
"All the way through the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the Biden administration has been good on providing rhetorical support and slow on providing military support, always delivering the next type of weaponry that Ukraine desperately needs later than it should be delivered. That's going to go on for a while. I don't foresee Russia attacking NATO territory in Estonia, Latvia or Lithuania in the near term. Russia is stuck in its trenches in Ukraine. Ukraine has pushed back the Black Sea Fleet out of Ukrainian territory. And Putin knows that if he attacks NATO territory, he's going to be at war with NATO and he does not want that," Bryza said.
According to him, it is unlikely that the Biden administration is having a special debate about helping Ukraine.
"The Biden administration wants to provide the additional 60 billion dollars worth of aid to Ukraine and the vast majority of members of Congress, as I've told you before, want that aid to come to Ukraine. There's just a small group of radical far-right-wing Republicans that are using Biden's desire to provide that aid to Ukraine to demand other things from Biden most notably a new policy on protecting the US Mexican border," the former US Secretary of State noted.
He recalled the scenarios according to which, as in the case of Crimea, Russia could send troops there, concealing its involvement.
"But when I used to run a think tank in Tallinn, Estonia after Russia invaded Ukraine the last time in 2014, we were worried and we were studying possible scenarios according to which, like in the case of Crimea, Russia could send in some deniable troops. Let's say little green men again, saying it's not Russian troops. Those troops would occupy some insignificant administrative centers and then Putin would say ah. These are Russian troops. We have captured NATO territory. And do you want to go to nuclear war to try to free these unimportant buildings? That's something that worries me or something below the threshold of an article 5 response, whereby Russia could attack NATO territory and that would discredit NATO forever," Bryza added.