Russia is heading for rock bottom

But they are shaking it at a pace that allows us to say out loud: the Russians have not managed to escape the trap into which their economy was driven after the invasion of Ukraine.

• Revenues from the oil and gas sector have fallen to 25% of revenues, down from the traditional 40%. And the situation is not on Russia's side.
• The idea of a “Turkish gas hub” has failed - no one is interested in it except Moscow.
• All industries, except the military, are in recession, and the military cannot exist in isolation for long. Ask those who remember the USSR.
• The National Welfare Fund has finally turned into a pump for pumping budget funds and imitating activity, not an airbag. Future generations of Russians have nothing to look forward to - everything is going to war.
• Information is coming from the Russian regions about the reduction of payments to mercenaries for the war. And mobilization will not add to the stability of the regime.

In the United States, the debate over sanctions continues, and Trump has less and less “2-3 weeks” to justify the delay: the inadequate behavior of the Russians and the success of the Ukrainian special services have tipped the balance of public sympathy back in our favor. In cultures of European origin, it is still customary to sympathize with David, not Goliath. No matter what the leadership thinks. And the leadership has to go to the polls.

But all this is a reason not to relax, but, on the contrary, to prepare for very difficult times.

“In these circumstances, Putin and his entourage, blinded by their own propaganda, are betting that their resources are still greater than ours. Judging by their behavior, they are not in the mood for any peace or even a truce. They want to push, push, push.”

Until they burst.

...We must do everything we can to avoid being the first to fall. It would be unbearably painful for our future generations to read that we had so little time left to stand...

That is why everything that weakens, leads astray, wastes resources must be ruthlessly rejected. A small, inefficient dictatorship simply won't have the resources to wait for Russia to fall.

Source

About the author. Rostyslav Pavlenko is a Ukrainian politician, political scientist, political strategist, and teacher. Member of Parliament of Ukraine of the IX convocation.

The editors do not always share the opinions expressed by the blog authors.