Espreso. Global
OPINION

Kursk operation. First results, consequences, risks

15 August, 2024 Thursday
12:38

The offensive in Kursk region has removed from the agenda Putin and China's proposal to start negotiations after the freeze on the front line

client/title.list_title

Results:

  1. The Ukrainian Armed Forces command showed strategic genius by striking in a completely unexpected place and catching the Russians off guard.
  2. The Russian “large strategic reserves” turned out to be a PSYOP and a myth. On the 9th day, they could not muster enough forces to organize the front and deter Ukrainian breakthrough.
  3. On day 9, the Russian command is trying to figure out where Ukrainian troops are. That's how bad their intelligence is.

Consequences:

  1. A powerful information blow to the Putin regime. The hysteria of bloggers and public sentiment create a negative background for mobilization and support for the continuation of the “special military operation”.
  2. A large number of prisoners is great news for Ukrainian soldiers. Unfortunately, before that the ratio was 1:5 not in our favor.
  3. The scenario of freezing along the front line has been destroyed. The operation has removed from the agenda both Putin's and China's proposals to start negotiations after the freeze on the front line.

Risks:

  1. Putin will be forced to mobilize or withdraw brigades from the front to drive Ukrainian forces out of the Kursk region. This is now a strategic issue for him. The new mobilization complicates the situation for Ukraine, but also for Putin. The question is what comes first.
  2. The danger of getting stuck in the battles in the Kursk region, spending new reserves, equipment and resources, having much less capabilities than the enemy. To some extent, this is a reverse situation of the Russians in Kharkiv, who cannot advance and cannot withdraw either.
  3. The danger of the front collapsing elsewhere due to excessive concentration of forces in the Kursk region.
Source

About the author. Victor Andrusiv, political and public figure, analyst and publicist.

The editors do not always share the opinions expressed by the blog authors.

Tags:
Read also:
  • News
2024, Thursday
12 September
18:06
Russia hits ship with wheat, Zelenskyy emphasizes need for food security
17:55
"It goes according to Ukraine's plan": Zelenskyy on Russia's counteroffensive in Kursk region
17:32
Ukraine secures Soviet-era howitzers from Poland amid limited Western aid
17:10
EU extends personal sanctions for 6 months over Russian aggression in Ukraine
16:48
Exclusive
Not full-scale offensive: expert on Russian troops' activity in Kursk region
16:31
Updated
Russian shelling kills 3 Red Cross employees in Donetsk region
16:13
Russia attacks Ukraine with Shaheds, missiles: homes, power facilities hit in Konotop, casualties reported
15:53
OPINION
Which train to Europe will Ukrine be in time for?
15:39
Exclusive
"Tough times ahead for Pokrovsk": Editor-in-chief of Suspilne. Donbas Kramchenkov
15:17
Iranian missiles to Russia shift Ukraine debate — UK Foreign Secretary Lammy
14:59
Ukrainian Foreign Ministry urges Hasidic pilgrims to refrain from travelling to Uman for Rosh Hashanah
14:44
“Direct threat to peace and stability”: Ukraine's Foreign Ministry condemns NK's missile launches
14:28
OPINION
Analogous to HIMARS or Iranian Smerch: What are Fath-360 missiles Russia might use against Ukraine soon?
13:59
Exclusive
Russian counteroffensive in Kursk: not the success claimed, expert says
13:47
OPINION
“Peacekeeping marathon”. What is really happening?
13:19
President of Estonia Alar Karis arrives in Kyiv
12:55
Russia cuts off water supply to Pokrovsk, no restoration possible: officials urge evacuation
12:34
U.S., EU concerned about China transferring dual-use goods to Russia for warfare
12:14
Exclusive
Ukraine debate between Harris, Trump return U.S. to international politics - Journalist Gypson
11:52
Britain to allow Ukraine to use Storm Shadow missiles for strikes on Russia – media
11:30
Canadian Film Festival refuses to cancel screening of propaganda film Russians at War
11:13
How Kazakhstani shell company aids Russian military in servicing Su-30SM aircraft with French equipment
10:47
Exclusive
Russia maintains pressure in Kupyansk sector while protecting equipment – 14th Mechanized Brigade
10:18
Lithuania urges targeting Russian drones following UAV incident in Latvia
09:56
Ukrainian Defence Intelligence downs Russian Su-30SM aircraft over Black Sea: Video
09:42
Russia loses 630,000 troops since beginning of full-scale invasion of Ukraine
2024, Wednesday
11 September
21:20
UK announces $780 million aid package for Ukraine
21:00
Ukraine takes center stage at Trump-Harris presidential debate – U.S. journalist
20:45
Exclusive
Russian military begins to understand its strengths, weaknesses - Ukraine’s 3rd Brigade spokesman
20:22
Iran’s Fath-360 missile shipment to Russia: route, dates, numbers revealed
20:00
Exclusive
Iranian surface-to-surface ballistic missile Fateh-110. Defense Express
Russia could receive Iran's technologies to increase strikes on Ukraine - Defense Express
19:42
Exclusive
"Let them think they are safe": Ukrainian Navy on Russian warships in Novorossiysk
19:19
Russia commits 137,000 war crimes in Ukraine - Zelenskyy
19:00
Exclusive
Russia's forces outnumber Ukraine’s troops in Kursk region, military expert reveals
18:41
Russia attacks in 9 frontline areas: most active in Pokrovsk, Kurakhove directions
18:20
Russian counteroffensive starts in Kursk region, Ukrainian military expert comments
17:58
Ukraine’s deep strikes into Russia: how Western media duplicates Russian propaganda narratives
17:34
Ukraine traces route of Russian missile that struck children's hospital in Kyiv
17:16
ATACMS missile targets include more than Russian military airfields - Ukraine’s Defense Ministry
16:55
Kremlin displeased with Putin’s image being used in U.S. domestic political disputes
More news