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Belarus' entry into war is unfeasible for Russia: international expert explains why

24 October, 2024 Thursday
18:54

Pavlo Rad, analyst of the Russian and Belarusian Studies Program of the Foreign Policy Council Ukrainian Prism, believes that Russia is trying to continue using Belarus as a military hub, so direct involvement of the Belarusian army in the war is unlikely

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He expressed this opinion on Espreso TV.

"For now, we should not worry too much about Belarus. In particular, about the fact that Lukashenko may use his troops in the war against Ukraine. In my opinion, it is not profitable for Moscow to involve Belarus in the war. This scenario is unlikely. Because the Russian Federation has a kind of safe harbor at its side, a country where military products and fuel and lubricants for the needs of the Russian army are quietly produced. Moreover, as we know, Ukraine does not strike at the territory of Belarus, unlike Russia," Rad explained.

The expert added that there are currently few details about the joint military exercises between Russia and Belarus in 2025.

"Russia and Belarus will hold Zapad joint military exercises in 2025. The last time they were held was in 2021. It was after those exercises that Russia launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine. However, today we have very few details about the format of these exercises. Therefore, it is not worth analyzing and predicting how these exercises will go, but we should not worry about joint exercises between Russia and Belarus either," he added.

  • On October 24, self-proclaimed President of Belarus Alexander Lukashenko said that his country had not authorized Russia to invade Ukraine - they had allegedly turned on Kyiv themselves.
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